2024 might not be a ‘done deal’ for BJP after UP win. The answer lies in voter behavior
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The politics of India has changed, the traditional politics will no longer work in India. In India, the Kamandal-Mandal policy which started 30 years ago has also come to an end. In India, the tendency for regional forces to come to power by dealing with other castes has disappeared and perhaps such a mandate has never come before in India’s electoral history, while the politics which had been continuously playing out for 30 years on the political spectrum of Uttar Pradesh has also changed and the problems which have been steadily increasing in the politics of the country, which have caused this country to think and reflect on the problems which were affecting the country, were sidelined by the gravity of a state poll, and the script was rewritten.
It’s a term that has taught this country many lessons, it’s a term that has challenged these politicians so much that if their struggle is only about elections or about winning elections, then they have to change. Whatever definitions were based on different alliances, caste equations, or even community polarization, all disappeared from this mandate. And this is perhaps a period for the BJP, in which the blame cannot be placed on the fact that due to communal polarization, the people became divided, but the people were not divided, the people were not divided between Hindus and Muslims, and to add, behind the leaders of a specific caste who present themselves as the only standard bearers of that particular caste, the voters decided otherwise and sent the greatest shock wave to the political existence of these rulers and their caste-based alliances. And the greatest role model among all of these, the Yogi role model, be it the height and stature of Mulayam Singh Yadav in Uttar Pradesh or the height of Mayawati or Akhilesh Yadav or the politics of Kanshi Ram, the role model of CM Yogi Adityanath ruined everything.
But now Uttar Pradesh has to look to the future, and thereafter which political party can flourish in the political terrain of Uttar Pradesh is also a question in itself. It is not an immediate circumstance that you are trying to see and understand these results under the guise of his five-year tenure, in fact it is a tenure affecting the politics of India; and the public understanding the ruse, the way it catches and chooses one party over another, it was evident that there were considerable distances between the leaders and the connection in this election. And so this question becomes vital that “what does the public really want” and what tactics can the leaders find to raise these issues that are heightened within the public adjacent to the political portfolios of the leaders? We will always see crowds in the streets, we will see it with all the political parties because the army of the unemployed is so colossal in Uttar Pradesh that many countries in Europe can be part of it. But beating anti-incumbency, the BJP alone captured 255 seats across UP, so is it to be believed that the Yogi model will shine on the national horizon for India in times to come? So are we to believe that there is PM Modi in the country and CM Yogi in Uttar Pradesh and that this cocktail will no longer allow any other political party to prosper? Has India’s democracy, encompassing multi-party politics and the mandate it contains, begun to challenge all political parties and leaders in this country? Or inside this country, a new recognition is happening and whatever weapons are adopted with the creation of recognition, they are weapons of capital, they are weapons of planning, they are weapons of propaganda, they are weapons of the numbers game and how these weapons are conquered by applying an electoral coating to ideological situations.
There was no wave of change in Uttar Pradesh because something new was needed around the change. In UP the whole season leader like Swami Prasad Maurya lost the election, BJP almost swept the western belt of UP which is the stronghold of farmers despite huge protests from farmers, BJP won all eight constituencies of Lakhimpur Kheri where the son of BJP Union Minister Ajay Mishra Ashish Mishra was arrested as the main accused in the murder of four farmers and a journalist, but voters were not angry. So, do we have to accept now that politics doesn’t matter the problems, or that politicians don’t matter politics, or even not a politician but his face and through his face, the hopes and aspirations that arise illuminate matter? The answer is lucid in the mandate and the road to 2024 will now run through the political corridors of Lucknow.
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