AAP becomes biggest party in Punjab elections: opinion poll
The Punjab is likely to experience a stalled assembly, with the AAP becoming the state’s largest party in the 2022 state polls, according to the ABP-CVoter-IANS opinion poll.
The battle for the Punjab throne is between INC and AAP. The former NDA made up of BJP and Shiromani Akali Dal is no longer in contention for power in 2022.
The outgoing chief minister, Captain Amarinder Singh, faces strong opposition to power. In the latest public opinion poll conducted in the state, while 64.8% of those polled said they were dissatisfied with the performance of the incumbent chief minister, only 12.6% of those polled said they were dissatisfied with the performance of the incumbent chief minister. ‘they were very satisfied and 19.0 said they were satisfied to some extent with her performance.
Strong anti-titular sentiment prevails not only against the incumbent chief minister, but also against the entire state congressional government, as 60.8% of those polled expressed strong dissatisfaction with the performance of the government. state government.
Likewise, the majority of respondents – 51% expressed dissatisfaction with incumbent MPs from their constituencies.
This anti-titular sentiment combined with an endless feud between Chief Minister Amarinder Singh and CCP leader Navjyot Singh Sidhu has made the AAP the main challenger. As it stands, while Congress is expected to win 28.8% of the vote in Punjab, AAP is expected to win 35.1% of the vote, SAD is expected to get 21.8% of the vote and BJP is expected to win 7. , 3% of the votes.
Translated into seats, there is a possibility of a Hanging House in the 2022 Punjab Assembly. The AAP could be the largest party, as the party is expected to win 51 to 57 seats. Congress could finish in good second place by winning 38 to 46 seats, SADl should take 16 to 24 seats and BJP could win 0 to 1 seat. The total strength of the Punjabi Assembly is 117 seats.
The strong opposition in power against incumbent chief minister Amarinder Singh is also reflected in the fact that only 17.9% of those polled see him as the preferred choice for the post of chief minister.
The investigation revealed that the PAA does not have a credible face of the Punjab, which can be projected as the face of the party’s chief minister. While 21.6% of those polled said Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal was their preferred choice to be the next Chief Minister of State, only 16.1% consider Bhagwant Mann the face of PAA in Punjab as the preferred choice for the highest position in the state. 18.8% said Akali Dal leader Sukhbir Badal was their preferred choice for the post of chief minister.
According to survey data, rising prices and farmers’ problems are major concerns for the state electorate.
33.5% of those surveyed said the skyrocketing prices were a major concern, 28.6% of those surveyed said issues related to agriculture / farmers were their main concern.
The sample for the poll is 81,006 in five states covering 690 assembly seats. This state poll is part of the largest and definitive follow-up series of independent survey surveys conducted in India over the past 22 years, conducted by independent international polling agency CVoter, a world-renowned name in the field. area of socio-economic research.
As of May 2009, the CVoter Tracker has been performed weekly, 52 waves in a calendar year, in 11 national languages, in all UT states in India, with a target sample size of 3000 samples per wave. The average response rate is 55%. From January 1, 2019, C Voter transports the tracker DAILY, using the 7-day rollover sample (last 6 days + today) for tracker analysis.
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