Even if the BJP loses UP, it will lead in the presidential elections of 2022
The term of President Ram Nath Kovind ends on July 25, 2022. The presidential election will take place in mid-July next year after the polls in five state assemblies have closed. The prestigious elections will be the first test of the united opposition alliance, for which efforts are currently underway. They could present a common candidate.
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the Bharatiya Janata (BJP) party does not enjoy a majority in Rajya Sabha, has lost governments in a few states – Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand – and has witnessed an exodus allies such as the Shiv Sena and Akali Dal since the previous elections in 2017.
The opposition believes that the loss in West Bengal, the economic devastation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the mismanagement of the crisis, the protests by farmers, the rise in prices, the espionage of Pegasus and the anti- nomination could lead the BJP to lose most of the state elections due next year, and thus hurt its prospects in presidential polls.
However, history shows that the ruling party’s candidate lost only once in the presidential elections. In 1969, the official Congress candidate, Neelam Sanjeeva Reddy, lost to VV Giri due to the struggle for supremacy between the Syndicate and Indira Gandhi. So the odds are against the opposition.