How rising crime could impact Dems’ outlook in 2022
Absolutely. Due to the violence on TV screens, the occasional sporadic violence around protests and the fact that crime has jumped in 2020. In many major cities, however, the murder rate, the homicide rate has sharply increased. increases. And what people like Jim Clyburn, one of the most influential Democrats in the House of Representatives, said afterwards is that the whole issue of crime has hurt Congressional Democrats who are running in many districts. purple. This may explain why Donald Trump, who led a very, very strong law enforcement campaign, got more brown and black votes in many parts of the country. They were middle class people who were upset by the violence.
And now you have the specter of a president trying to run on what he’s doing for the economy. Who could be politically threatened by the fact that when crime increases it becomes a central issue for people because it is literally about their safety. And that’s a very real possibility that will hamper Biden’s attempt to win back Democrats who are reluctant to say, look at what we do for you. Because if the answer was, yes, but I’m not safe in my neighborhood, it can be a powerful political tool. As you mentioned, we saw it a generation ago.