Pennsylvania voters, rocked by voter fraud allegations, not happy with how election is going, new F&M poll finds | Local News
HARRISBURG – The “big lie” has sunk.
Pennsylvania voters are growing increasingly unhappy with the way the election has gone over the past two years, according to a new statewide poll from Franklin & Marshall College, and analysts say their Concerns are directly fueled by baseless allegations of voter fraud peddled by former President Donald Trump and other Republicans. .
The findings are stark: more than half of voters polled at the end of April – 52% – said they did not like the way the elections are being run, more than double the level of dissatisfaction seen in a similar poll conducted ahead of the 2020 presidential election. And they support scrapping mail-in ballots and imposing tough new voter ID laws.
“The rhetoric about 2020 has clearly had an impact,” said Berwood Yost, director of F&M’s Center for Opinion Research.
Related: Franklin & Marshall College May 2022 Poll
It is a partisan concern.
Nearly three in four Republicans — 72% — are dissatisfied, compared to just 29% of Democrats. More than half of independent and third-party voters dislike the way the election went.
Most Republicans support eliminating mail-in ballot boxes despite the lack of evidence that they contribute to voter fraud, and most Democrats strongly oppose it. Those calling for changes to how elections are conducted say they support voter identification laws (26%) and the elimination of mail-in ballots (19%).
One of the main Pennsylvania politicians pushing the false Trump narrative on social media is State Senator Doug Mastriano, a retired Army colonel. The F&M poll shows he holds a slight lead in the Republican gubernatorial primary, but the May 17 contest remains an open race with more than half of voters still deciding. There are nine GOP candidates but only three with double-digit ballot numbers.
The winner of the Republican race will face Attorney General Josh Shapiro, who is unopposed and the future Democratic candidate for governor.
The backdrop is a nervous electorate worried about the economy, unemployment, gas prices and personal finances. Nearly a quarter of all voters say these issues are their top concerns.
Three in four voters think things in the United States are “on the wrong track.”
The poll ‘finds little change in the mood of Pennsylvania voters since our March and April polls, with economic concerns remaining high and voters continuing to feel deeply frustrated and mostly dissatisfied with the President’s performance (Joe) Biden,” Yost said.
It’s also a midterm election, when the party out of power often wins the party in power, in this case the Democrats who occupy the White House.
In one of the nation’s most watched U.S. Senate races, there is still no clear favorite despite millions being spent on TV ads, mostly by TV celebrity and heart surgeon Dr. Mehmet Oz, and former hedge fund CEO Dave McCormick. . The poll showed Oz had the support of 18% of Republican voters, compared to McCormick’s 16% and former Fox News commentator and author Kathy Barnette’s 12%.
Three out of five voters remain undecided.
Trump endorsed Oz in the Senate race.
Among Democratic Senate candidates, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman holds a sizable lead, 53% to 14%, over U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, but one in four voters remains undecided, according to the poll.
The poll surveyed 792 registered voters from April 20 to May 1. The overall margin of error is 4 percentage points. It is slightly higher on the survey of primary races.
In the gubernatorial race, Mastriano leads with 16% of the vote, followed by former US Attorney Bill McSwain with 12%, former US Representative Lou Barletta with 11% and businessman self-proclaimed Dave White with 8%. Trump did not endorse the GOP governor’s run. It is not clear if he will.
He did, however, insert himself into the race by criticizing McSwain – calling him a “coward” – for not pursuing so-called voter fraud in the November 2020 election.
There was no evidence of widespread voter fraud.
McSwain is a former Marine Corps platoon commander of an elite sniper unit.
Mastriano has been subpoenaed by the special congressional committee investigating the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. While Mastriano attended and organized bus trips for Trump supporters, there is no evidence that he entered the Capitol.
The poll was taken before news broke that the United States Supreme Court appeared to be preparing to overturn Roe v. Wade, a decision that would open the door for states to ban abortion.
More than half of Pennsylvania voters – 54% – say they think abortion should be legal under certain circumstances. About a third – 31% – say they think the procedure should be legal under all circumstances. And 14% say abortion should be illegal under all circumstances.