Supreme Court case throws abortion photo of 2022 election
Sen. Rick Scott of Florida, chairman of the Republican National Senate Committee, downplayed the potential effect of the court ruling, although he said that as an opponent of abortion he welcomed the court to seize the case. But Mr Scott said he believed voters would be more convinced by what he described as the failures of the Biden administration on issues such as immigration, the economy, taxes, inflation. and more.
While the lines have always been clearly drawn on abortion in the pro and anti camps, public opinion has turned out to be more nuanced, with a clear majority supporting Roe but majorities also favoring certain limits. How the Supreme Court rules on the intricacies of abortion law could determine how the issue plays out in elections.
“Considering that the decision will likely be made five months before the election, and depending on the decision itself, it is too early to measure its final impact in mid-term,” said Nathan Gonzales, editor of the newspaper. non-partisan Inside Elections. Mr Gonzales said this could in theory energize Republicans, but also pay benefits for Democrats – a view shared by others.
President Donald J. Trump helped inspire a record turnout last year from Democratic voters eager to reject his administration. While Mr. Trump is no longer on the ballot, many Democrats say the Supreme Court case could provide crucial mid-term motivation, especially for suburban women in swing neighborhoods who have played a pivotal role in Democratic victories last year.
Katie Paris, the founder of Red, Wine and Blue, a group focused on organizing suburban female voters for Democrats across the country, said news from the Supreme Court immediately raised alarm bells on Facebook groups and other social media channels managed by his organization.
“When the news broke that this was going to be picked up, it was like, ‘Everyone is getting ready. It’s real, ”she said. “We know what this tribunal could do, and if they do, the backlash will be severe.”
Tresa Undem, a pollster specializing in gender surveys, said abortion rights will continue to be an effective cause for Democrats, as voters link it to broader concerns about power and control that motivated female voters under the Trump administration.