Lucknow: Although the 2022 assembly election in Uttar Pradesh is still a few months away, major political parties have started to explore all options for a possible pre-election alliance and have begun discussions on who could be their first. choice for the post of chief minister.

Regarding the ruling BJP, he categorically ruled out the replacement of the incumbent Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and threw all his weight behind him. This implies that the monk-politician may be the main face of the Saffron party’s 2022 election campaign.

Yogi Adityanath (BJP)

Despite the recent rumblings within the party and given the meteoric attack by the opposition on the state government’s handling of COVID-19, top BJP officials have given the yogi government a clean note and praised his work for the past 4 years. However, he remains concerned about how to deal with growing public anger against the government over its mismanagement of the devastating second wave of COVID-19.

Another factor that senior BJP officials have deliberated on is that its “Hindutva” card has lost its luster in state politics. What further proves this is the fact that several BJP-backed candidates have faced humiliation in traditional BJP strongholds like Gorakhpur, Ayodhya, Varanasi and Mathura in the recently concluded panchayat polls.

That implies that Ram or ‘Hindutva’ temple alone cannot win votes for the Saffron Party in the next polls, which is crucial for the BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi for the seizure of power in the 2024 elections in Lok Sabha. Although the 2022 poll result cannot be predicted based on the results of local panchayat polls, it still reflects which direction the wind is blowing. On the other hand, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party made considerable gains although he did not show great enthusiasm in the local panchayat elections.

It cannot be denied that the BJP has the largest vote bank in Uttar Pradesh, but what worries the party is the growing anti-titular factor against the government due to the high unemployment rate, the decline in public order, frustration and anger of people due to a large number of deaths from COVID, mismanagement of the pandemic, etc. which may shake his poll prospects in UP this time around.

Despite its strong positioning among the advanced castes, members of the Jat and Vaishya community are quite disappointed with the saffron festival, mainly due to the cold response from Narendra Modi’s government to farmers who are agitating against the three agricultural laws and huge losses for small traders due to demonetization and the Goods and Services Tax (GST).

The party is not hoping for good voter turnout in its favor in the western UP where the RLD led by the late former Union Minister Ajit Singh wields considerable influence among farmers. This time around, RLD will likely go with Akhilesh Yadav’s party, which will hurt the chances of the BJP getting good numbers in the region.

The BJP, sources say, could also follow its Assam model of not projecting a chief ministerial candidate ahead of the election in a bid to defeat any anti-nomination in other election-related states – a strategic party could discuss as the ballot approaches. assembly polls in Uttar Pradesh. Besides Uttar Pradesh, the strategy is likely to benefit the party in other states such as Uttarakhand, Goa, Himachal Pradesh and Gujarat.

Priyanka Gandhi (Congress)

As Congress strives to revive itself in the state, it is still looking for a credible face in UP. Jitin Prasada’s exit will further dent his upper caste voice bank. The main opposition party could still lose its Brahmin vote bank. The Congress party’s poll prospects will clearly depend on Priyanka Gandhithe charismatic appeal of and its connection to UP voters. However, this too has been tested in the Lok Sabha 2019 polls and the last legislative elections in which the BJP clearly emerged as the winner.

With Rahul Gandhi unwilling to take back the reins of the party and with organizational elections set to take place in the near future, it would be interesting to see if Congress plans Priyanka Gandhi like its CM side in UP. The UP Congress Party official has been very vocal about the government of Narendra Modi and Yogi Adityanath in both Center and State respectively and has become a formidable challenger to the Chief Minister. She also enjoys a good equation with old and young party guards and also has a huge appeal to young people.

Sanjay Singh (AAP)

Delhi’s Aam Aadmi party CM Arvind Kejriwal – another political player in the UP – also made its presence felt by winning a significant number of seats in the UP panchayat polls. While talks of a rapprochement with poet-politician Kumar Vishwas are too far-fetched at the moment, the AAP leadership may try to screen its MP Rajya Sabha Sanjay Singh like its candidate CM.

Sanjay Singh’s UP experience can help the AAP court upper caste voters in UP, thus dividing the BJP vote bank. He is the national spokesperson for the Aam Aadmi party and the state in charge of Uttar Pradesh, Orissa and Rajasthan. Sanjay Singh was born in Sultanpur district, Uttar Pradesh.

The AAP has already made it clear that Sanjay Singh will be the face of the post of UP chief minister. Party leaders asserted that if the AAP wins, Delhi’s development model will also be implemented in Uttar Pradesh.

Mayawati and Om Prakash Rajbhar

In all likelihood, the Dalit icon and former chief minister of state, Mayawati, will be the chief ministerial candidate of the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). Mayawati had sometimes announced in return that his party would go alone in the legislative elections in Uttar Pradesh next year. However, the party would not hesitate to partner with Om Prakash Rajbhar, who ruled out any alliance with the BJP for the 2022 polls.

Putting an end to all speculation, Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj (SBSP) party leader Om Prakash Rajbhar said there would be no more alliance with the BJP. The SBSP chief also claimed that the BJP had overtaken the backward leaders and that even Deputy Chief Minister Keshav Prasad Maurya had been “ignored” in Yogi Adityanath’s government.

Accusing the BJP of deceiving the backward section, Rajbhar said his party played a major role in winning the BJP nearly 100 seats in UP in the last assembly ballots. The SBSP had contested the 2017 UP Assembly elections in alliance with the BJP, but later split up. In the 2017 parliamentary elections, the SBSP contested eight seats and won four. Rajbhar was appointed cabinet minister, but he later resigned due to differences with the leadership of Yogi Adityanath.

It is also possible that BSP and All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) will meet in Uttar Pradesh. If that happens, the alliance will cause a major dent in SP’s Muslim and retrograde votes.

Akhilesh Yadav (SP)

On the other hand, the leader of the Samajwadi Party and former chief minister Akhilesh Yadav said his party would not form an alliance with Congress or Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj party. Yadav said the SP would not partner with any major political party, but would instead opt for smaller regional parties.

The party will link up with smaller UP parties, seek to forge alliances with Rashtriya Lok Dal of Jayant Chaudhary, Janwadi Party of Sanjay Chauhan and Mahan Dal of Keshav Dev Maurya, the SP leader said. the Samajwadi feast The president also hinted at forming an alliance with his uncle Shivpal Yadav, who also strives to remain relevant in state politics after being humiliated in Lok Sabha’s latest assembly and polls.

The SP leader also said his party would not present its candidate for the latter’s seat in Jaswantnagar. The Samajwadi party has had bitter experiences in the previous legislative elections and the 2019 general elections, in which it ran in alliance with Congress and the BSP respectively. Therefore, the party is now trying to do without them. Additionally, SP had a good performance in the last panchayat election in which it came out on top, leaving the ruling BJP behind.

Therefore, Akhilesh Yadav will certainly be the Samajwadi party’s biggest bet in the upcoming UP Assembly elections. Also, with the ‘Bua-Bhaija’ (Mayawati-Akhilesh) relationship deteriorating right now, there is no possibility that the two sides will come together to oust the ” Modi-Shah powered ” BJP in UP.

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